booltБюллетень Государственного Никитского ботанического садаBulletin of the State Nikitsky Botanical Gardens0513-1634Federal State Funded Institution of Science “The Labour Red Banner Order Nikitsky Botanical Gardens – National scientific Center of the RAS”10.36305/0513-1634-2022-145-25-36boolt-662Research ArticleДЕКОРАТИВНОЕ САДОВОДСТВОORNAMENTAL HORTICULTUREМОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ ПРОСТРАНСТВЕННОГО РАСПРЕДЕЛЕНИЯ TRACHYCARPUS FORTUNEI (HOOK.) H. WENDL И PAYSANDISIA ARCHON BURMEISTERModeling of the spatial distribution of Trachycarpus fortunei (Hook.) H.Wendl and Paysandisia archon BurmeisterЕгошинАлексей ВалентиновичEgoshinA. V.noemail@neicon.ruСочинский национальный паркРоссия20221602202301452536Copyright © Егошин А.В., 20232023Егошин А.В.Egoshin A.V.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://boolt.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/662

В статье приведены результаты моделирования пространственного распределения Trachycarpus fortunei (Hook.) H.Wendl и Paysandisia archon Burmeister. Предикторными переменными, внесшими наиболее весом (Hook.) H.Wendl и Paysandisia archon являются количество и сезонное распределение атмосферных осадков, а также застроенность территории (EarthEnv, class 9). Установлено, что во вторичном ареале этот вид стал осваивать более влажные условия произрастания, чем у себя на родине. Вредитель Paysandisia archon непреднамеренно завезённый на юг Российского Причерноморья и выступающий в роли биотического фактора, ограничивающегося распространение во вторичном ареале Trachycarpus fortunei предпочитает места обитания, испытывающие более сильную антропогенную нагрузку, чем Trachycarpus fortunei .

Results of modeling of the spatial distribution of Trachycarpus fortunei (Hook.) H.Wendl and Paysandisia archon Burmeister are given. Predictor variables have made the most significant contribution to modeling the spatial distribution of Trachycarpus fortunei and Paysandisia archon are the amount and seasonal distribution of precipitation and the built-up area (EarthEnv, class 9). This species has begun to occupy wetter growing conditions in the secondary range than in its native range. The pest Paysandisia archon unintentionally introduced to the south of Russia's Black Sea Region, started to act as a biotic factor limiting its spread of Trachycarpus fortunei in the ecosystems of secondary range experiencing more significant anthropogenic impact.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.